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Credit Booms-Is China Different?1

Credit Booms-Is China Different?1 »

Source: Credit Booms-Is China Different?

Volume/Issue: 2018/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sally Chen , and Joong Shik Kang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 January 2018

ISBN: 9781484336762

Keywords: Financial crises, Financial cycles, Banking crises, Asia and Pacific, credit gap, debt overhang, sustainable growth, General

Strong Chinese output growth after the Global Financial Crisis was supported by booming credit. This credit boom carries risks. International experience suggests that China's credit growth is on a dangerous traject...

China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility: Is World Growth Losing Out?1

China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility: Is World Growth Losing Out?1 »

Source: China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility : Is World Growth Losing Out?

Volume/Issue: 2016/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 March 2016

ISBN: 9781513590455

Keywords: China&;amp;#x2019;s slowdown, global financial market volatility, international business cycle, Global VAR, volatility, market volatility, financial market, trade, global financial market, Time-Series Models

China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already weak global economic recovery. To quantify the global macroeconomic consequences of these shocks,...

Business Cycles in Emerging Markets

Business Cycles in Emerging Markets »

Source: Business Cycles in Emerging Markets : The Role of Durable Goods and Financial Frictions

Volume/Issue: 2011/133

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

ISBN: 9781455259380

Keywords: real business cycles, durables, financial frictions, business cycles, total consumption, interest rates, business cycle, elasticity of substitution, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper examines how durable goods and financial frictions shape the business cycle of a small open economy subject to shocks to trend and transitory shocks. In the data, nondurable consumption is not as volatil...

Procyclicality and the Search for Early Warning Indicators1

Procyclicality and the Search for Early Warning Indicators1 »

Source: Procyclicality and the Search for Early Warning Indicators

Volume/Issue: 2013/258

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hyun Shin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2013

ISBN: 9781484320839

Keywords: Non-core liabilities, credit cycles, discount rates, monetary fund, international capital markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Lending and Debt Problems,

This paper compares three types of early warning indicators of financial instability - those based on financial market prices, those based on normalized measures of total credit and those based on liabilities of fi...

Rebalancing China's Economy

Rebalancing China's Economy »

Source: Rebalancing China's Economy : What Does Growth Theory Tell Us?

Volume/Issue: 2006/291

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jahangir Aziz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865516

Keywords: Business cycle accounting, rebalancing growth, financial distortions, gnp, cost of capital, capital income, growth model, capital formation, Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East,

This paper uses the standard one-sector neoclassical growth model to investigate why China's consumption has been low and investment high. It finds that the low cost of capital has been quantitatively an important...

Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets––An Empirical Investigation

Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets––An Empirical Investigation »

Source: Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets--An Empirical Investigation

Volume/Issue: 2014/173

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ghada Fayad , and Roberto Perrelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 September 2014

ISBN: 9781498335836

Keywords: Emerging market, growth surprises, trading partners&;amp;#x2019; demand, trading partners, global financial crisis, financial crisis, import demand, trading partner, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Economic Growth of Open Economies

Output growth has slowed in several emerging markets since 2011-a remarkable feature for a non-crisis period in EMs. Such synchronized slowdowns were largely unanticipated by scholars and forecasters alike. In this...

Sustaining Latin America's Resurgence

Sustaining Latin America's Resurgence »

Source: Sustaining Latin America's Resurgence : Some Historical Perspectives

Volume/Issue: 2006/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anoop Singh , and Martin Cerisola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2006

ISBN: 9781451865127

Keywords: Macroeconomic Policy, Policy Design and Consistency, Economic Growth, Open Economies, fiscal policy, exchange rate, exchange rate regimes, discretionary fiscal policy, exchange rates, Prices

This paper looks at the historical lessons that might serve to entrech Latin America's newly resurgent growth phase. It briefly reviews the post-World War II experiences in Latin America and Asia, focusing on the c...

Credit Booms-Is China Different?

Credit Booms-Is China Different? »

Volume/Issue: 2018/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sally Chen , and Joong Shik Kang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 January 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484336762.001

ISBN: 9781484336762

Keywords: Financial crises, Financial cycles, Banking crises, Asia and Pacific, credit gap, debt overhang, sustainable growth, General

Strong Chinese output growth after the Global Financial Crisis was supported by booming credit. This credit boom carries risks. International experience suggests that China's credit growth is on a dangerous traject...

China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility
			: Is World Growth Losing Out?

China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility : Is World Growth Losing Out? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513590455.001

ISBN: 9781513590455

Keywords: China&;amp;#x2019;s slowdown, global financial market volatility, international business cycle, Global VAR, volatility, market volatility, financial market, trade, global financial market, Time-Series Models

China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already weak global economic recovery. To quantify the global macroeconomic consequences of these shocks,...

Business Cycles in Emerging Markets
			: The Role of Durable Goods and Financial Frictions

Business Cycles in Emerging Markets : The Role of Durable Goods and Financial Frictions »

Volume/Issue: 2011/133

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455259380.001

ISBN: 9781455259380

Keywords: real business cycles, durables, financial frictions, business cycles, total consumption, interest rates, business cycle, elasticity of substitution, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper examines how durable goods and financial frictions shape the business cycle of a small open economy subject to shocks to trend and transitory shocks. In the data, nondurable consumption is not as volatil...