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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration

The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration »

Source: The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration

Volume/Issue: 2004/74

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas , and Olivier Jeanne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2004

ISBN: 9781451849622

Keywords: international financial integration, growth, capital scarcity, neoclassical model, financial integration, international financial, capital inflows, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

Standard theoretical arguments tell us that countries with relatively little capital benefit from financial integration as foreign capital flows in and speeds up the process of income convergence. We show in a cali...

Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia

Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia »

Source: Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia

Volume/Issue: 2010/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201181

Keywords: money supply, aggregate demand, money growth, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

Inflation followed a strikingly uniform pattern in all countries of the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia during the period 1996-2009, falling until about 2000 and then rising. International fuel prices d...

Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade

Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade »

Source: Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade

Volume/Issue: 2016/4

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

ISBN: 9781475539462

Keywords: Export growth, Exports, Asia and Pacific, China, Commodities, Manufacturing, Spillovers, Trade, export intensity, final demand

Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China's economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and emerging market e...

India's Growth Spillovers to South Asia

India's Growth Spillovers to South Asia »

Source: India's Growth Spillovers to South Asia

Volume/Issue: 2012/56

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Iyabo Masha , and Ding Ding

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

ISBN: 9781463937744

Keywords: growth linkages, world exports, share of world exports, exports of goods, trading partners, neighboring countries, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Economic Growth of Open Economies, And South Asia,

This study investigates the role of India's economy in explaining the observed growth in South Asia, taking into consideration other sources of growth endogenous to the countries in the region. Since a review of ke...

Financial Globalization

Financial Globalization »

Source: Financial Globalization : A Reappraisal

Volume/Issue: 2006/189

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Eswar Prasad , Kenneth Rogoff , and Shang-Jin Wei

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2006

ISBN: 9781451864496

Keywords: Growth and Volatility, Financial Crises, capital flows, financial globalization, International Economic Order, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

The literature on the benefits and costs of financial globalization for developing countries has exploded in recent years, but along many disparate channels and with a variety of apparently conflicting results. For...

Global Economic Governance

Global Economic Governance »

Source: Global Economic Governance : IMF Quota Reform

Volume/Issue: 2011/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Virmani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781463902186

Keywords: Quota Reform, Economic Sovreignity, Voice, International Monetary Fund (IMF), world economy, world growth, purchasing power parity, external trade, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

The paper examines the principles on which a reform of a Quota based global economic institution like the IMF must be based, taking account of both the relative economic power of countries and the need for voice an...

Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets––An Empirical Investigation

Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets––An Empirical Investigation »

Source: Growth Surprises and Synchronized Slowdowns in Emerging Markets--An Empirical Investigation

Volume/Issue: 2014/173

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ghada Fayad , and Roberto Perrelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 September 2014

ISBN: 9781498335836

Keywords: Emerging market, growth surprises, trading partners&;amp;#x2019; demand, trading partners, global financial crisis, financial crisis, import demand, trading partner, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Economic Growth of Open Economies

Output growth has slowed in several emerging markets since 2011-a remarkable feature for a non-crisis period in EMs. Such synchronized slowdowns were largely unanticipated by scholars and forecasters alike. In this...

Financial Versus Monetary Mercantilism

Financial Versus Monetary Mercantilism »

Source: Financial Versus Monetary Mercantilism : Long-Run View of Large International Reserves Hoarding

Volume/Issue: 2006/280

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , and Joshua Aizenman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865400

Keywords: competitive real depreciations, self insurance, precautionary hoarding, hoarding, international reserves, financial sector, financial fragility, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

The sizable hoarding of international reserves by several East Asian countries has been frequently attributed to a modern version of monetary mercantilism-hoarding international reserves in order to improve competi...

From Autarky to Integration

From Autarky to Integration »

Source: From Autarky to Integration : Imitation, Foreign Borrowing, and Growth

Volume/Issue: 1998/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451928907

Keywords: Growth, Imitation, Innovation, Knowledge Gap, Foreign Borrowing, capital markets, human capital, capital controls, capital mobility, international capital markets

The effects on growth of the integration of an autarkic country into the world economy are analyzed, focusing on the differing roles of imitation and innovation in human capital accumulation. The country initially...

Determinants of Growth Spells

Determinants of Growth Spells »

Source: Determinants of Growth Spells : Is Africa Different?

Volume/Issue: 2012/227

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2012

ISBN: 9781475510225

Keywords: International Growth, survival analysis, robustness, Bayesian Model Averaging, terms of trade, inflation, trade growth, per capita income, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General

Do growth spells in Africa end because of bad realizations of the same factors that influence growth spells in the rest of the world, or because of different factors altogether? To answer this question, we examine...