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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific
			: Building on Asia's Strengths during Turbulent Times

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific : Building on Asia's Strengths during Turbulent Times »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Ranil Salgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 May 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498350921.086

ISBN: 9781498350921

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Consumption, Development, Supply and demand, Financial crises, Commodity markets, Economies, trade, income, prices

Although Asia remains a growth leader in the global economy, growth is expected to ease slightly to 5.5 percent during 2016, with countries affected to varying degrees by a still weak global recovery, slowing globa...

Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels

Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels »

Source: Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels : Modeling Sharp Movements in Oil Prices

Volume/Issue: 2010/186

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Malika Pant , Martin Mühleisen , and Alun Thomas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455202201

Keywords: oil price, consumption demand, asset demand, speculation, oil prices, opec, oil imports, oil supply, crude oil, Prices

Global oil markets were roiled by sharp price swings in 2008, and economists are still divided over the reasons for the unusual volatility. Those emphasizing fundamentals point to inelastic supply and demand curves...

Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia

Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia »

Source: Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia

Volume/Issue: 2010/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201181

Keywords: money supply, aggregate demand, money growth, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

Inflation followed a strikingly uniform pattern in all countries of the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia during the period 1996-2009, falling until about 2000 and then rising. International fuel prices d...

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy*

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy* »

Source: The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

Volume/Issue: 2012/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , Mehdi Raissi , and Maziar Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475597158

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, international business cycle, oil-demand and oil-supply shocks, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, exporting countries, Time-Series Models

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-dr...

Mauritius

Mauritius »

Source: Mauritius : Unemployment and the Role of Institutions

Volume/Issue: 2003/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): James Yao , and Calvin McDonald

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2003

ISBN: 9781451874860

Keywords: institutions, wage, skilled labor, employment, labor demand, labor market, Demand and Supply of Labor: General, Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence

Despite strong economic growth, a "U"-curve unemployment phenomenon in Mauritius can be observed. Unemployment plunged from 21 percent to less than 4 percent between the early 1980s and the early 1990s, but this tr...

Chronicle of a Decline Foretold

Chronicle of a Decline Foretold »

Source: Chronicle of a Decline Foretold : Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point?

Volume/Issue: 2013/26

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mitali Das , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475548242

Keywords: Excess labor supply, Lewis Turning Point, Population aging, Demographics, labor supply, labor force, labor market, labor demand, unemployment, General

China is on the eve of a demographic shift that will have profound consequences on its economic and social landscape. Within a few years the working age population will reach a historical peak, and then begin a pre...

What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis?

What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis? »

Source: What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis?

Volume/Issue: 2000/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Antonio Spilimbergo , and Rupa Duttagupta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2000

ISBN: 9781451860153

Keywords: Asia, Export competitiveness, Exports, Cointegration, Competitive Depreciation, Export Demand and Supply, East Asia, export prices, equations, equation

After the large exchange rate depreciations following the 1997 East Asian crisis, export volumes from East Asian countries responded with a notable lag. Two main explanations for this lag have been proposed: that t...

Identifying the Linkages between Major Mining Commodity Prices and China's Economic Growth-Implications for Latin America

Identifying the Linkages between Major Mining Commodity Prices and China's Economic Growth-Implications for Latin America »

Source: Identifying the Linkages between Major Mining Commodity Prices and China's Economic Growth-Implications for Latin America

Volume/Issue: 2011/86

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yongzhen Yu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

ISBN: 9781455226023

Keywords: Major mining commodity, China&;amp;#x2019;s demand, economic structure, prospect, ore, iron, iron ore, copper, alumina, Economic Growth of Open Economies

Major mining commodity prices are inherently volatile and cyclical. High levels of investment in China have been a key driver in the strong world demand for minerals and metals over the past decade. The urbanizatio...

China's Labor Market Performance and Challenges

China's Labor Market Performance and Challenges »

Source: China's Labor Market Performance and Challenges

Volume/Issue: 2003/210

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tao Ran , and Ray Brooks

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2003

ISBN: 9781451874815

Keywords: Employment, China, Unemployment, labor force, labor market, jobs, Demand and Supply of Labor: General, Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence

A more market-oriented labor market has emerged in China in the past twenty years with growing importance of the urban private sector, as state-owned enterprises have downsized. Despite the progress on reforms, a s...

Is South Asia Ready for Take Off?

Is South Asia Ready for Take Off? »

Source: Is South Asia Ready for Take Off? : A Sustainable and Inclusive Growth Agenda

Volume/Issue: 2019/18

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Manuela Goretti , Daisaku Kihara , Ranil Salgado , and Anne Gulde

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513507538

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Economic growth, Supply and demand, Financial regulation and supervision, DPPP, reform effort, economic outlook, south Asia, demographic dividend

Since the mid-1980s, durable reforms coupled with prudent macroeconomic management have brought steady progress to the South Asia region, making it one of the world's fastest growing regions. Real GDP growth has st...