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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific
			: Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific : Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484360835.086

ISBN: 9781484360835

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Business cycles, Market economies, Human capital, Capital accumulation, Financial crises, Economies, capital inflows, domestic demand, capital flow

Growth in the Asia-Pacific region shows signs of improving as extreme risks emanating from advanced economies have receded and domestic demand remains resilient, supported by relatively easy financial conditions an...

External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis

External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis »

Source: External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis : What is Different This Time?

Volume/Issue: 2010/158

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): F. Gulcin Ozkan , and Filiz Unsal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

ISBN: 9781455201419

Keywords: entrepreneurs, domestic economy, entrepreneur, open economy, domestic goods, And The Supply Of Money And Credit, international Finance, macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper develops a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis to a small open economy. We find that economies hit by a sudden stop arising from financial distress in the...

Interest Rate Defenses of Currency Pegs

Interest Rate Defenses of Currency Pegs »

Source: Interest Rate Defenses of Currency Pegs

Volume/Issue: 2004/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Sole

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2004

ISBN: 9781451850789

Keywords: bond, central bank, bonds, domestic currency, interest rate policy, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper studies a policy often used to defend a currency peg: raising short-term interest rates. The rationale for this policy is to stem demand for foreign reserves. Yet, this mechanism is absent from most mone...

Output and Unemployment Dynamics during the Great Recession

Output and Unemployment Dynamics during the Great Recession »

Source: Output and Unemployment Dynamics during the Great Recession : A Panel Unobserved Components Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2010/185

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455202195

Keywords: Output dynamics, Unemployment dynamics, World economy, Great Recession, Panel unobserved components model, unemployment rate, unemployment, domestic demand, labor demand, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper analyzes the sources of output and unemployment dynamics in the world economy during the Great Recession. This analysis is based on a panel unobserved components model of the world economy, disaggregated...

External Imbalances in the Euro Area

External Imbalances in the Euro Area »

Source: External Imbalances in the Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2012/236

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ruo Chen , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Thierry Tressel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 September 2012

ISBN: 9781475524673

Keywords: Europe, euro area, external imbalances, financial integration, terms of trade shocks, trading partner, trading partners, trade shocks, commodity exporters, domestic demand

The paper examines the extent to which current account imbalances of euro area countries are related to intra-euro area factors and to external trade shocks. We argue that the traditional explanations for the risin...

1. Managing Shifting Risks

1. Managing Shifting Risks »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific : Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484360835

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Business cycles, Market economies, Human capital, Capital accumulation, Financial crises, Economies, capital inflows, domestic demand, capital flow

Signs of Pickup amid Receding Tail Risks The global economy entered 2013 with receding tail risks as the U.S. fiscal cliff and an escalation of the euro area crisis had been averted....

2. Fiscal Policy: Dampening Cyclical Fluctuations and Supporting Inclusive Growth

2. Fiscal Policy: Dampening Cyclical Fluctuations and Supporting Inclusive Growth »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific : Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484360835

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Business cycles, Market economies, Human capital, Capital accumulation, Financial crises, Economies, capital inflows, domestic demand, capital flow

Sustained rapid growth, macroeconomic stability, and improvements in living standards are some of the remarkable achievements of Asian economies over the past decade. Nevertheless, important challenges remai...

3. Is Middle-Income Asia at Risk of a Sustained Growth Slowdown?

3. Is Middle-Income Asia at Risk of a Sustained Growth Slowdown? »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific : Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484360835

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Business cycles, Market economies, Human capital, Capital accumulation, Financial crises, Economies, capital inflows, domestic demand, capital flow

Slower growth in China, India, and Vietnam; prospects of persistently low growth in advanced economies; imminent demographic aging across large parts of East Asia—all have raised concerns in recent years abo...

The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies

The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies »

Source: The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies

Volume/Issue: 2012/300

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Abdul Abiad , John Bluedorn , Jaime Guajardo , and Petia Topalova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2012

ISBN: 9781475584851

Keywords: low-income countries, growth, expansion, recovery, inflation, external shocks, domestic shocks, trade openness, low inflation, General

Economic performance in many emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) improved substantially over the past twenty years. The past decade was particularly good-for the first time EMDEs spent more time in exp...

What Drives Credit Growth in Emerging Asia?

What Drives Credit Growth in Emerging Asia? »

Source: What Drives Credit Growth in Emerging Asia?

Volume/Issue: 2012/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fei Han , and Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

ISBN: 9781463936440

Keywords: rapid credit growth, emerging Asia, SVAR, Bayesian estimation, sign restrictions, aggregate demand, domestic monetary policy, inflation, financial stability, What Drives Credit Growth in Emerging Asia?

This paper seeks to uncover the main drivers of credit growth in emerging Asia using a multi-country structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. Taking a novel approach, we developed a two-block SVAR whereby sho...