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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2016, Middle East and Central Asia

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2016, Middle East and Central Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 October 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513534497.086

ISBN: 9781513534497

Keywords: Oil prices, Fiscal policy, Economic growth, Central banks, Inflation, cheaper oil, global spillovers, China’s rebalancing, fiscal deficits, CCA

This issue focuses on the ongoing adjustment to cheaper oil and subdued economic activity for oil-producing countries, as well as the weak and fragile recovery in the Caucasus and Central Asia region. It also discu...

Modernizing China
			: Investing in Soft Infrastructure

Modernizing China : Investing in Soft Infrastructure »

Series: Books

Author(s): W. Raphael Lam , Markus Rodlauer , and Alfred Schipke

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 January 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513539942.071

ISBN: 9781513539942

Keywords: China, China, People's Republic of, Economic reforms, China, reforms, economic reforms, economic success, growth model, policy frameworks, markets

China is at a critical juncture in its economic transformation as it tries to rebalance what is generally seen as an exhausted growth model. A unifying theme across the reforms that will deliver this t...

Is China's Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable?

Is China's Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable? »

Source: Is China's Export-Oriented Growth Sustainable?

Volume/Issue: 2009/172

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kai Guo , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2009

ISBN: 9781451873191

Keywords: Export-oriented growth, rebalancing, export growth, world demand, net exports, export expansion, export industries,

This paper assesses the sustainability of China's export-oriented growth over the medium to longer term. It shows that maintaining the current export-oriented growth would require significant gains in market share...

Explaining China's Low Consumption

Explaining China's Low Consumption »

Source: Explaining China's Low Consumption : The Neglected Role of Household Income

Volume/Issue: 2007/181

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jahangir Aziz , and Li Cui

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2007

ISBN: 9781451867459

Keywords: Financing Constraints, Rebalancing Growth, employment growth, employment, household income, household survey, national accounts,

The Chinese government has recently focused on the need to increase consumption to rebalance the economy. A widely held view is that despite China's remarkably high growth, the share of consumption in total expendi...

Two Sides of the Same Coin? Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China

Two Sides of the Same Coin? Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China »

Source: Two Sides of the Same Coin? Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China

Volume/Issue: 2013/185

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Il Lee , Murtaza Syed , and Xin Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 August 2013

ISBN: 9781484386576

Keywords: China, China, People's Republic of, Economic growth, Economic models, Economic reforms, Excess liquidity, Income distribution, Inclusive growth, Monetary policy, Poverty

This paper uses the Shapley Value decomposition technique to assess the factors behind the rise of inequality in China. It finds that, in many ways, inequality may have been an inevitable by-product of China's inve...

Employment Effects of Growth Rebalancing in China

Employment Effects of Growth Rebalancing in China »

Source: Employment Effects of Growth Rebalancing in China

Volume/Issue: 2009/169

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2009

ISBN: 9781451873160

Keywords: growth rebalancing, GIMF model, share of employment, employment in the services sector, job creation, employment in agriculture,

This paper gauges the potential effects on employment of rebalancing China's exportoriented growth model toward domestic demand, particularly private consumption. Shifting to a private consumption-led growth likely...

Rebalancing China's Economy

Rebalancing China's Economy »

Source: Rebalancing China's Economy : What Does Growth Theory Tell Us?

Volume/Issue: 2006/291

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jahangir Aziz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865516

Keywords: Business cycle accounting, rebalancing growth, financial distortions, gnp, cost of capital, capital income, growth model, capital formation, Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East,

This paper uses the standard one-sector neoclassical growth model to investigate why China's consumption has been low and investment high. It finds that the low cost of capital has been quantitatively an important...

Emerging Asia's Impact on Australian Growth

Emerging Asia's Impact on Australian Growth »

Source: Emerging Asia's Impact on Australian Growth : Some Insights From GEM

Volume/Issue: 2010/262

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benjamin Hunt

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

ISBN: 9781455210695

Keywords: Emerging Asia, Productivity Growth, Rebalancing, exchange rates, exchange rate, real exchange rates, tradable goods, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, One

Over the last decade, GDP growth in emerging Asia was roughly twice as fast as average world growth. The IMF's Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the impact that emerging Asia's growth differential has...

China’s Path to Consumer-Based Growth

China’s Path to Consumer-Based Growth »

Source: China's Path to Consumer-Based Growth : Reorienting Investment and Enhancing Efficiency

Volume/Issue: 2013/83

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Il Lee , Murtaza Syed , and Liu Xueyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 March 2013

ISBN: 9781484309353

Keywords: China, Economic growth, Investment, Private consumption, Regional economics, Rebalancing, household income, consumption growth, consumption function, consumption over time

This paper proposes a possible framework for identifying excessive investment. Based on this method, it finds evidence that some types of investment are becoming excessive in China, particularly in inland provinces...

Transforming China

Transforming China »

Source: Transforming China : Insights from the Japanese Experience of the 1980s

Volume/Issue: 2010/284

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2010

ISBN: 9781455210916

Keywords: Plaza accord, asset bubble, and growth rebalancing, deposit rates, financial liberalization, domestic demand, financial system, bonds, Saving, Employment

China is poised on the brink of a transition to a service-based economy. The Japanese experience of the 1980s provides several insights about the way to manage such a transition and the downsides to avoid. In parti...