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Fiscal Monitor, April 2019

Curbing Corruption

The April 2019 edition of Fiscal Monitor is focused on two broad themes: fiscal policy in a fast-changing global economy and curbing corruption.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern?1

Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern?1 »

Source: Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern?

Volume/Issue: 2019/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kangni Kpodar , Stefania Fabrizio , and Kodjovi Eklou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484387771

Keywords: Oil prices, Demand elasticity, Gasoline prices, Cost of living, Energy prices, Retail fuel prices;Fuel Subsidies;Export growth;Developing countries.;fuel price increase;non-fuel;fuel price;price shock;energy price

This paper investigates the impact of domestic fuel price increases on export growth in a sample of 77 developing countries over the period 2000-2014. Using a fixed-effect estimator and the local projection approac...

Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern?

Export Competitiveness - Fuel Price Nexus in Developing Countries: Real or False Concern? »

Volume/Issue: 2019/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kangni Kpodar , Stefania Fabrizio , and Kodjovi Eklou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484387771.001

ISBN: 9781484387771

Keywords: Oil prices, Demand elasticity, Gasoline prices, Cost of living, Energy prices, Retail fuel prices;Fuel Subsidies;Export growth;Developing countries.;fuel price increase;non-fuel;fuel price;price shock;energy price

This paper investigates the impact of domestic fuel price increases on export growth in a sample of 77 developing countries over the period 2000-2014. Using a fixed-effect estimator and the local projection approac...

2. Asia as the Cycle Matures

2. Asia as the Cycle Matures »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific : Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375419

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, Asia and Pacific, trade tariffs, digital revolution

Global Context The global expansion that began two years ago appears to have peaked and become less synchronized across economies. While economic activity moderated in advanced econo...

6. Keeping Asia at the Forefront

6. Keeping Asia at the Forefront »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific : Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375419

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, Asia and Pacific, trade tariffs, digital revolution

Asia is the world’s most dynamic economic region. But it faces a number of serious challenges over the medium to long term—that its trade-reliant growth strategy will no longer be viable (at least in its cur...

4. Productivity Growth in Asia: Boosting Firm Dynamism and Weeding out the Zombies5

4. Productivity Growth in Asia: Boosting Firm Dynamism and Weeding out the Zombies5 »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific : Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375419

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, Asia and Pacific, trade tariffs, digital revolution

The April 2017 Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific documented that productivity growth in a number of economies in Asia—just as in the rest of the world—slowed after the global financial crisis, and...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific
			: Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific : Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 October 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484375419.086

ISBN: 9781484375419

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, Asia and Pacific, trade tariffs, digital revolution

Growth in the first half of 2018 was softer than in 2017, especially in advanced economies. In contrast, growth remained robust in emerging market economies and broadly in line with expectations. After rising to 6....

5. The Digital Revolution in Asia: Disruptor or New Growth Engine (or Both)?8

5. The Digital Revolution in Asia: Disruptor or New Growth Engine (or Both)?8 »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific : Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375419

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, Asia and Pacific, trade tariffs, digital revolution

The final challenge for Asia addressed in this Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific is how to reap the potential benefits of the digital revolution while minimizing its costs. While digitalization and...

3. The Evolving Role of Trade in Asia: Opening a New Chapter3

3. The Evolving Role of Trade in Asia: Opening a New Chapter3 »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific : Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375419

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, Asia and Pacific, trade tariffs, digital revolution

Asia’s heavy reliance on trade in general, and its integration in global value chains in particular, have been critical elements behind the region’s stellar growth record. But rising income levels and wages...

A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia

A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2018/6

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Edward Gemayel , Lorraine Ocampos , Matteo Ghilardi , and James Aylward

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484337165.087

ISBN: 9781484337165

Keywords: Growth acceleration, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of, Iran, Islamic Republic of, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, Syrian Arab Republic, Yemen, Republic of, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan

Since 2014, large and persistent external shocks have hit the CCA region, particularly a slump in global commodity prices and slower growth in its key economic partners. Fiscal accommodation, along with currency ad...

A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia

A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia »

Source: A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia

Volume/Issue: 2018/6

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Edward Gemayel , Lorraine Ocampos , Matteo Ghilardi , and James Aylward

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484337165

Keywords: Growth acceleration, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of, Iran, Islamic Republic of, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, Syrian Arab Republic, Yemen, Republic of, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan

Since 2014, large and persistent external shocks have hit the CCA region, particularly a slump in global commodity prices and slower growth in its key economic partners. Fiscal accommodation, along with currency ad...