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Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the  World Economy
			: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2012/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504187.001

ISBN: 9781475504187

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel unobserved components model, Bayesian econometrics, inflation, domestic demand, terms of trade, price inflation

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a...

Inflation and Income Inequality

Inflation and Income Inequality »

Source: Inflation and Income Inequality : Is Food Inflation Different?

Volume/Issue: 2012/147

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): James Walsh , and Jiangyan Yu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

ISBN: 9781475504163

Keywords: core inflation, monetary fund, central bank, monetary policy, high inflation, Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions, Urban, Rural

There is an extensive literature noting that high inflation can add to income inequality, and a parallel literature assessing the effect of rising food prices on the poor. This paper attempts to combine these stran...

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the  World Economy

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy »

Source: Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach

Volume/Issue: 2012/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

ISBN: 9781475504187

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel unobserved components model, Bayesian econometrics, inflation, domestic demand, terms of trade, price inflation

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a...

I. Ensuring Stable Growth: Risks and Challenges

I. Ensuring Stable Growth: Risks and Challenges »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific : Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2012

ISBN: 9781616352509

Keywords: claims, fdi, inflation, domestic demand, commodity prices

A. Signs of Stabilization during Global Uncertainty Since September 2011, the economic fortunes of Europe and the United States have diverged, with European growth slowing sharply (F...

II. The Evolution of Asian Financial Linkages: Key Determinants and the Role of Policy

II. The Evolution of Asian Financial Linkages: Key Determinants and the Role of Policy »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific : Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2012

ISBN: 9781616352509

Keywords: claims, fdi, inflation, domestic demand, commodity prices

As highlighted in Chapter 1, global economic prospects have improved somewhat in the first quarter of 2012, and acute tensions in global financial markets have eased. Still, downsid...

III. The Likely Effect On Asia of a Sharp Deleveraging by European Banks

III. The Likely Effect On Asia of a Sharp Deleveraging by European Banks »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific : Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2012

ISBN: 9781616352509

Keywords: claims, fdi, inflation, domestic demand, commodity prices

The growth of bank credit in Asia has been robust in recent years as highlighted in Chapter 1, and generally healthy bank balance sheets have helped buffer the region against the gr...

IV. Is China Rebalancing? Implications for Asia

IV. Is China Rebalancing? Implications for Asia »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific : Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2012

ISBN: 9781616352509

Keywords: claims, fdi, inflation, domestic demand, commodity prices

As the recovery in advanced economies is suffering new setbacks, the need for economic rebalancing in Asia has assumed even greater urgency. At the same time, China’s trade surplus...

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012,  Asia and Pacific
			: Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific : Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616352509.086

ISBN: 9781616352509

Keywords: claims, fdi, inflation, domestic demand, commodity prices

Barring the realization of downside risks to the global economy, growth in the Asia and the Pacific region is expected to gain momentum over the course of 2012, according to this report, and now projected at 6 perc...

Back Matter

Back Matter »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific : Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2012

ISBN: 9781616352509

Keywords: claims, fdi, inflation, domestic demand, commodity prices

Barring the realization of downside risks to the global economy, growth in the Asia and the Pacific region is expected to gain momentum over the course of 2012, according to this report, and now projected at 6 perc...

Front Matter

Front Matter »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Asia and Pacific : Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2012

ISBN: 9781616352509

Keywords: claims, fdi, inflation, domestic demand, commodity prices

Barring the realization of downside risks to the global economy, growth in the Asia and the Pacific region is expected to gain momentum over the course of 2012, according to this report, and now projected at 6 perc...