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The Future of China's Bond Market

This book analyzes segments of China's bond market, from sovereign, policy bank, and credit bonds, to the rapidly growing local government bond market.

Targets, Interest Rates, and Household Saving in Urban China

Targets, Interest Rates, and Household Saving in Urban China »

Volume/Issue: 2011/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Malhar Nabar

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463904258.001

ISBN: 9781463904258

Keywords: Household Saving, Target Savings, Financial Liberalization, real interest rate, real interest rates, disposable income, inflation,

This paper studies a panel of China's provinces over the period 1996-2009 during which urban household saving rates increased from 19 percent of disposable income to 30 percent. It finds that the increase in urban...

Understanding Chinese Bond Yields and their Role in Monetary Policy

Understanding Chinese Bond Yields and their Role in Monetary Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2011/225

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nathan Porter , and Nuno Cassola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463904937.001

ISBN: 9781463904937

Keywords: Term Structure of Interest Rates, bond, bonds, inflation, treasury bonds, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

China's financial prices are informative enough for the PBC to introduce a monetary policy framework centered around interest rates. While bond yields are not fully efficient?reflecting regulation, liquidity, and s...

People's Republic of China
			: 2011 Article IV Consultation

People's Republic of China : 2011 Article IV Consultation »

Volume/Issue: 2011/192

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 July 2011

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463982416.002

ISBN: 9781463982416

Keywords: cost of capital, capital market, financial reform, financial system, financial liberalization, financial stability, interest rate liberalization, financial sector, bond, capital market development

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discuss...

Business Cycles in Emerging Markets
			: The Role of Durable Goods and Financial Frictions

Business Cycles in Emerging Markets : The Role of Durable Goods and Financial Frictions »

Volume/Issue: 2011/133

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455259380.001

ISBN: 9781455259380

Keywords: real business cycles, durables, financial frictions, business cycles, total consumption, interest rates, business cycle, elasticity of substitution, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper examines how durable goods and financial frictions shape the business cycle of a small open economy subject to shocks to trend and transitory shocks. In the data, nondurable consumption is not as volatil...

Precautionary Savings and Global Imbalances in World General Equilibrium

Precautionary Savings and Global Imbalances in World General Equilibrium »

Volume/Issue: 2011/122

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Damiano Sandri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455263394.001

ISBN: 9781455263394

Keywords: interest rate, interest, current account, foreign assets, net foreign assets, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Volatility,

In this paper we assess the implications of precautionary savings for global imbalances by considering a world economy model composed by the US, the Euro Area, Japan, China, oil-exporting countries, and the rest of...

Causes of Asset Shortages in Emerging Markets

Causes of Asset Shortages in Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2011/114

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiaqian Chen , and Patrick Imam

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455262373.001

ISBN: 9781455262373

Keywords: Asset Shortage, Emerging Market, Capital Market, Regulation, financial assets, interest rates, capital markets, capital account, pension funds, Money and Interest Rates: General

We first illustrate that emerging markets (EMs) face a shortage of financial assets, with financial assets not growing as rapidly as domestic savings. We then estimate the asset shortage in EMs for 1995-2008. We de...

People's Republic of China
			: Hong Kong Special Administrative Region:  2010 Article IV Consultation Discussions:  Staff Report; Staff Statement; and Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion

People's Republic of China : Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: 2010 Article IV Consultation Discussions: Staff Report; Staff Statement; and Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion »

Volume/Issue: 2010/345

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 December 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455212675.002

ISBN: 9781455212675

Keywords: interest, budget, debt, article, financial institutions

Owing to prompt policy action, the Hong Kong economy is now back on a robust growth trajectory. Inflation has rebounded, driven by higher costs for utilities. Banks have withstood the financial market volatility. H...

Are House Prices Rising Too Fast in China?

Are House Prices Rising Too Fast in China? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/274

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ashvin Ahuja , Lillian Cheung , Gaofeng Han , Nathan Porter , and Wenlang Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455210817.001

ISBN: 9781455210817

Keywords: House price, price misalignment, leverage cycle, mortgage, real estate, land sales, mortgage loan, mortgage interest,

Sharp increase in house prices combined with the extraordinary Chinese lending growth during 2009 has led to concerns of an emerging real estate bubble. We find that, for China as a whole, the current levels of hou...

Transforming China
			: Insights from the Japanese Experience of the 1980s

Transforming China : Insights from the Japanese Experience of the 1980s »

Volume/Issue: 2010/284

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455210916.001

ISBN: 9781455210916

Keywords: Plaza accord, asset bubble, and growth rebalancing, deposit rates, financial liberalization, domestic demand, financial system, bonds, Saving, Employment

China is poised on the brink of a transition to a service-based economy. The Japanese experience of the 1980s provides several insights about the way to manage such a transition and the downsides to avoid. In parti...

Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run
			: the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility

Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run : the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility »

Volume/Issue: 2010/259

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Surico , Luca Ricci , and Pierpaolo Benigno

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455209590.001

ISBN: 9781455209590

Keywords: macroeconomic volatility, downward wage rigidities, unemployment rate, employment, unemployment rates, rate of unemployment, Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics: General, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production

We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run produc...