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Elements of Optimal Monetary Policy Committee Design

Elements of Optimal Monetary Policy Committee Design »

Volume/Issue: 2006/277

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jérôme Vandenbussche

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451865370.001

ISBN: 9781451865370

Keywords: collective decision making, inflation, central bank, monetary policy decisions, inflation targeting, Analysis Of Collective Decision-making, Monetary Policy, Central Banking, And The Supply Of Money And Credit,

The move from individual decision making to committee decision making is widely seen as a major evolution in contemporary central banking. This paper reviews the relevant economics and social psychology literatures...

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts »

Volume/Issue: 2006/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Timmermann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451863192.001

ISBN: 9781451863192

Keywords: Global economic condition, forecast performance, and evaluation, inflation, statistics, correlation, inflation forecasts, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Prices, Business Fluctuations

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a key source of forecasts of global economic conditions. It is therefore important to review the performance of these forecasts against both actual outcomes and alternative forec...

Does Inflation in China Affect the United States and Japan?

Does Inflation in China Affect the United States and Japan? »

Volume/Issue: 2006/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luke Willard , and Tarhan Feyzioglu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451862966.001

ISBN: 9781451862966

Keywords: inflation rates, price inflation, monetary fund, price level, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

With China's share in global trade increasing rapidly, some argued in 2002-03 that China was exporting deflation to other countries as it was dumping cheap goods in mature markets. Later, others argued that China w...

Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow in Foreign Currency?

Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow in Foreign Currency? »

Volume/Issue: 2003/177

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Jeanne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451858891.001

ISBN: 9781451858891

Keywords: Liability Dollarization, Monetary Credibility, currency debt, foreign currency, domestic currency, currency composition, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

This paper explores the hypothesis that the dollarization of liabilities in emerging market economies is the result of a lack of monetary credibility. I present a model in which firms choose the currency compositio...

Deflation
			: Determinants, Risks, and Policy Options

Deflation : Determinants, Risks, and Policy Options »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig , Jörg Decressin , Tarhan Feyzioglu , Manmohan Kumar , and Chris Faulkner-MacDonagh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 June 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589062276.084

ISBN: 9781589062276

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, aggregate demand, money supply, low inflation

Deflation can be costly and difficult to anticipate, and concerns of a generalized decline in prices in both industrial and emerging market economies have increased recently. This paper investigates the causes and...

Macroeconomic Performance and Poverty Reduction

Macroeconomic Performance and Poverty Reduction »

Volume/Issue: 2003/72

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anne Epaulard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451849363.001

ISBN: 9781451849363

Keywords: Growth, Macroeconomic Policies, inflation, terms of trade, transition economies, trade openness, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Measurement and Analysis of Poverty,

This paper investigates the link between macroeconomic performance and the change in the poverty rate among 47 episodes of growth and 52 episodes of economic downturn in developing and transition economies. We show...

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China
			: 1980-2002

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China : 1980-2002 »

Volume/Issue: 2003/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhongxia Jin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451848922.001

ISBN: 9781451848922

Keywords: exchange rate, foreign exchange, real exchange rate, real interest rate, exchange reserves, Econometric Methods: - Multiple/Simultaneous Equation Models, Money and Interest Rates, Macroeconomic - Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook

Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in C...

Inflation and Growth in Transition
			: Are the Asian Economies Different?

Inflation and Growth in Transition : Are the Asian Economies Different? »

Volume/Issue: 1999/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Torsten Sloek , and Sanja Kalra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451854060.001

ISBN: 9781451854060

Keywords: Transition economies, Asia, growth, structural reforms, inflation stabilization, transition countries, relative price

This paper examines the progress made in four Asian transition economies—China, Lao P.D.R., Vietnam, and Mongolia—to market-based systems. Overall, these economies appear to have had a more favorable...

Macroeconomic Cycles in China

Macroeconomic Cycles in China »

Volume/Issue: 1997/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): S. Oppers

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1997

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451855678.001

ISBN: 9781451855678

Keywords: People&;amp;#x2019;s Republic of China, aggregate demand, monetary fund, monetary policy, inflationary expectations

This paper investigates the macroeconomic cycles China has experienced since the onset of reform in the late 1970s. It finds that the recurrent inflationary episodes that characterize the cycles are associated prim...

Does the Gap Model Work in Asia?

Does the Gap Model Work in Asia? »

Volume/Issue: 1996/69

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. McDermott , and David Coe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 1996

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451960747.001

ISBN: 9781451960747

Keywords: inflation, change in inflation, money supply, terms of trade, monetary fund

There is considerable evidence from industrial countries that the output gap is an important determinant of inflation. We examine whether the gap model also works in developing, newly industrializing, and industria...