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Quantifying the Spillovers from China Rebalancing Using a Multi-Sector Ricardian Trade Model

Quantifying the Spillovers from China Rebalancing Using a Multi-Sector Ricardian Trade Model »

Volume/Issue: 2016/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rui Mano

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475553741.001

ISBN: 9781475553741

Keywords: Consumption, China, Demand, International trade, Trade models, Spillovers, Spillovers, Transition economies, Economic sectors, China rebalancing

This paper assesses the spillovers from different facets of China rebalancing using a calibrated Ricardian trade model that includes 41 economies, each consisting of 34 sectors. We find that China's move up the val...

When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold?

When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/214

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sohrab Rafiq

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475552607.001

ISBN: 9781475552607

Keywords: Cambodia, Cambodia, China, Cross country analysis, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Emerging markets, Economic integration, Economic growth, Philippines, Indonesia

This paper looks at the effects of a China slowdown on Emerging Market Economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand) and Frontier Developing Economies (Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., and Vietnam) in ASEAN. The main finding...

Spillovers from the Maturing of China's Economy

Spillovers from the Maturing of China's Economy »

Volume/Issue: 2016/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Dizioli , Benjamin Hunt , and Wojciech Maliszewski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475552225.001

ISBN: 9781475552225

Keywords: Spillovers, Asia and Pacific, China’;s slowdown and rebalancing, international business cycle, model based analysis, China&;amp;#x2019;s slowdown and rebalancing, Computable General Equilibrium Models, Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Business Cycles

China's transition to a new growth model continues and the impact has been felt across the globe. Several trends contribute to the ‘maturing' of China's economy: i) structural slowing on the convergence path; ii) o...

Resolving China's Corporate Debt Problem

Resolving China's Corporate Debt Problem »

Volume/Issue: 2016/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Wojciech Maliszewski , Serkan Arslanalp , John Caparusso , José Garrido , Si Guo , Joong Shik Kang , W. Raphael Lam , Daniel Law , Wei Liao , Nadia Rendak , Philippe Wingender , Jiangyan Yu , and Longmei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 October 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475545289.001

ISBN: 9781475545289

Keywords: Corporate Debt Overhang; Credit; Restructuring; Hardening Budget Constraints

Corporate credit growth in China has been excessive in recent years. This credit boom is related to the large increase in investment after the Global Financial Crisis. Investment efficiency has fallen and the finan...

China's Footprint in Global Commodity Markets

China's Footprint in Global Commodity Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2016/06

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Christina Kolerus , Papa N'Diaye , and Christian Saborowski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475541069.062

ISBN: 9781475541069

Keywords: Crude oil, Food prices, Asia and Pacific, Commodities, Commodity prices, China, Spillovers, Industrial production, footprint, global commodity markets

This note assesses empirically the role Chinese activity plays in global commodities markets, showing that the strength of China's economic activity has a significant bearing on commodity prices, but that the impac...

Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade

Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade »

Volume/Issue: 2016/4

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475539462.062

ISBN: 9781475539462

Keywords: Export growth, Exports, Asia and Pacific, China, Commodities, Manufacturing, Spillovers, Trade, export intensity, final demand

Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China's economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and emerging market e...

Spillovers from China
			: Financial Channels

Spillovers from China : Financial Channels »

Volume/Issue: 2016/05

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Nkunde Mwase , Papa N'Diaye , Hiroko Oura , Frantisek Ricka , Katsiaryna Svirydzenka , and Yuanyan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475539486.062

ISBN: 9781475539486

Keywords: Spillovers, China, Asia and Pacific, Commodities, Asset markets, Assets, Trade, Global financial markets, transition, growth path

Although China's much-needed transition to a new growth path is proceeding broadly as expected, the transition is still fraught with uncertainty, including regarding the Chinese authorities' ability to achieve a sm...

Regulating Local Government Financing Vehicles and Public-Private Partnerships in China

Regulating Local Government Financing Vehicles and Public-Private Partnerships in China »

Volume/Issue: 2016/187

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hui Jin , and Isabel Rial

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475536768.001

ISBN: 9781475536768

Keywords: fiscal risk, public investment, subnational government

In this paper, we argue that there is much room for China to strengthen its regulatory framework for public-private partnerships (PPPs). We show that infrastructure projects carried out through local government fin...

Rebalancing in China-Progress and Prospects

Rebalancing in China-Progress and Prospects »

Volume/Issue: 2016/183

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Longmei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475532937.001

ISBN: 9781475532937

Keywords: Rebalancing, China

China is transitioning to a greener, more inclusive, more consumer and service based, and less credit-driven economy. This paper defines a framework for assessing rebalancing, reviews progress, and discusses medium...

China's Changing Trade and the Implications for the CLMV

China's Changing Trade and the Implications for the CLMV »

Volume: 16

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Koshy Mathai , Geoff Gottlieb , Gee Hee Hong , Sung Eun Jung , Jochen M. Schmittmann , and Jiangyan Yu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513544991.087

ISBN: 9781513544991

Keywords: Trade partners, Global trade, Trade flows, Trade patterns, trade,labor,clmv

China's trade patterns are evolving. While it started in light manufacturing and the assembly of more sophisticated products as part of global supply chains, China is now moving up the value chain, 'onshoring' the...