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Measuring External Risks for Peru
			: Insights from a Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy

Measuring External Risks for Peru : Insights from a Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy »

Volume/Issue: 2014/161

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fei Han

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 September 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498327220.001

ISBN: 9781498327220

Keywords: Macroeconomic Model, Partial Dollarization, External Risk, Macroeconomic Forecast, inflation, aggregate demand, monetary fund, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets

This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China's investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconom...

Conventional and Insidious Macroeconomic Balance-Sheet Crises

Conventional and Insidious Macroeconomic Balance-Sheet Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2014/160

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bas Bakker , and Leslie Lipschitz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 August 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498389044.001

ISBN: 9781498389044

Keywords: crises, capital inflows, exchange rate, real effective exchange rate, effective exchange rate, General, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance, Globalization: General,

This paper describes the anatomy of two types of balance-sheet macroeconomic crises. Conventional balance-sheet crises are triggered by external imbalances and balance sheet vulnerabilities. They typically occur af...

After the Boom-Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

After the Boom-Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean »

Volume/Issue: 2014/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bertrand Gruss

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 August 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498363518.001

ISBN: 9781498363518

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), commodity prices, output growth, Latin America, commodity exporters, exporters, commodity exports, Time-Series Models, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Economic Growth of Open Economies

After skyrocketing over the past decade, commodity prices have remained stable or eased somewhat since mid-2011-and most projections suggest they are not likely to resume the upward trend observed in the last decad...

Future of Asia's Finance
			: How Can it Meet Challenges of Demographic Change and Infrastructure Needs?

Future of Asia's Finance : How Can it Meet Challenges of Demographic Change and Infrastructure Needs? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ding Ding , Waikei Lam , and Shanaka Peiris

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 July 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498321082.001

ISBN: 9781498321082

Keywords: Demographic change, infrastructure financing, financial deepening, financial integration, capital and financial flows, bond, financial markets, financial sector development, bonds, Models with Panel Data

There is a role for Asia's financial sector to play to address the challenges associated with the region's changing demographics and infrastructure investment needs. Enhancing financial innovation and integration i...

Why Complementarity Matters for Stability-Hong Kong SAR and Singapore as Asian Financial Centers

Why Complementarity Matters for Stability-Hong Kong SAR and Singapore as Asian Financial Centers »

Volume/Issue: 2014/119

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vanessa Le Lesle , Franziska Ohnsorge , Minsuk Kim , and Srikant Seshadri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 July 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498334464.001

ISBN: 9781498334464

Keywords: Networks, financial institutions and services, government policy and regulation, bond, financial stability, bond markets, financial institutions, hedge, General,

There is much speculation regarding a 'race for dominance' among financial centers in Asia, arising from the anticipated financial opening up of China. This frame of reference is, to an extent, a predilection that...

Growth
			: Now and Forever?

Growth : Now and Forever? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/117

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Giang Ho , and Paolo Mauro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 July 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498309820.001

ISBN: 9781498309820

Keywords: growth forecast, optimism bias, forecast horizon, economic growth, growth forecasts, growth rates, growth rate, economic growth forecasts,

Forecasters often predict continued rapid economic growth into the medium and long term for countries that have recently experienced strong growth. Using long-term forecasts of economic growth from the IMF/World Ba...

Development of the Renminbi Market in Hong Kong SAR
			: Assessing Onshore-Offshore Market Integration

Development of the Renminbi Market in Hong Kong SAR : Assessing Onshore-Offshore Market Integration »

Volume/Issue: 2013/268

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): R. Craig , Changchun Hua , Philip Ng , and Raymond Yuen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 June 2014

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498388290.001

ISBN: 9781498388290

Keywords: capital controls, offshore financial markets

Offshore use of the renminbi expanded rapidly in Hong Kong SAR as China sought to develop an international role for its currency while maintaining capital controls. This prompts two questions addressed in this pape...

Impact of Fed Tapering Announcements on Emerging Markets

Impact of Fed Tapering Announcements on Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2014/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prachi Mishra , Kenji Moriyama , Papa N'Diaye , and Lam Nguyen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 June 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498361484.001

ISBN: 9781498361484

Keywords: tapering, Fed policy announcements, vulnerability, stock market, bond, capital inflows, capital flow, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

This paper analyzes market reactions to the 2013-14 Fed announcements relating to tapering of asset purchases and their relationship to macroeconomic fundamentals and country economic and financial structures. The...

Determinants of International Tourism

Determinants of International Tourism »

Volume/Issue: 2014/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Culiuc

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 May 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484383032.001

ISBN: 9781484383032

Keywords: Gravity model, Real exchange rate, Small islands, tourist, tourists, tourist arrivals, tourism receipts, Country and Industry Studies of Trade,

The paper estimates the impact of macroeconomic supply- and demand-side determinants of tourism, one of the largest components of services exports globally, and the backbone of many smaller economies. It applies th...

China's Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Liberalization
			: Lessons from International Experiences

China's Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Liberalization : Lessons from International Experiences »

Volume/Issue: 2014/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Wei Liao , and Sampawende Tapsoba

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484366295.001

ISBN: 9781484366295

Keywords: Financial Liberalization, Financial Innovation, Money Demand Function, financial reforms, financial market, money demand, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects)

China has been moving to a more market oriented financial system, which has implications for the monetary policy environment. The paper investigates the stability of the money demand function (MDF) in light of prog...