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When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold?

When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/214

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sohrab Rafiq

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475552607.001

ISBN: 9781475552607

Keywords: Cambodia, Cambodia, China, Cross country analysis, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Emerging markets, Economic integration, Economic growth, Philippines, Indonesia

This paper looks at the effects of a China slowdown on Emerging Market Economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand) and Frontier Developing Economies (Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., and Vietnam) in ASEAN. The main finding...

Spillovers from China's Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies

Spillovers from China's Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2016/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Dizioli , Jaime Guajardo , Vladimir Klyuev , Rui Mano , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 August 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475524260.001

ISBN: 9781475524260

Keywords: China’;s slowdown and rebalancing, international business cycle, spillovers, Global VAR, Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM), ASEAN-5.

After many years of rapid expansion, China's growth is slowing to more sustainable levels and is rebalancing, with consumption becoming the main growth driver. This transition is likely to have negative effects on...

Explaining ASEAN-3's Investment Puzzle A Tale of Two Sectors

Explaining ASEAN-3's Investment Puzzle A Tale of Two Sectors »

Volume/Issue: 2013/13

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yong Sarah Zhou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475533736.001

ISBN: 9781475533736

Keywords: Tobin&;amp;#x2019;s Q, asian crisis, capital markets, pre-crisis, financial crisis

The prolonged investment decline in post-Asian crisis emerging Asia, in contrast to the swift recovery of economic growth, has remained a puzzle. This paper shows that the post-crisis investment recession has been...

The Output Decline in Asian Crisis Countries
			: Investment Aspects

The Output Decline in Asian Crisis Countries : Investment Aspects »

Volume/Issue: 2002/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Joshua Greene

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844276.001

ISBN: 9781451844276

Keywords: output decline, asian crisis, balance sheet, private capital, private capital flows, private investment, capital flows, capital inflows, Macroeconomics: Production, Macroeconomics: Consumption

This paper examines whether capital outflows may have contributed to output declines during the Asian Crisis by reducing the financing available for domestic investment. Panel data regressions suggest a positive, s...

Post-Crisis Exchange Rate Policy in Five Asian Countries
			: Filling in the "Hollow Middle"?

Post-Crisis Exchange Rate Policy in Five Asian Countries : Filling in the "Hollow Middle"? »

Volume/Issue: 2001/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Leonardo Hernández , and Peter Montiel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451858426.001

ISBN: 9781451858426

Keywords: exchange rate policy, exchange rate, crisis countries, pre-crisis, post-crisis period, exchange rates

Following the 1997-98 financial turmoil, crisis countries in Asia moved toward either floating or fixed exchange rate systems, reinforcing the bipolar view of exchange rate regimes and the "hollow middle" hypothesi...

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2001/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451857092.001

ISBN: 9781451857092

Keywords: exchange rate regime, volatility, Asian crisis, exchange rate, exchange rates, random walk, exchange rate volatility, standard deviation, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions,

This paper examines the behavior of the exchange rates of selected emerging market East Asian economies in the aftermath of the Asian crisis. The results suggest that movements in the Asia-5 currencies (Indonesia,...

Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring
			: Lessons from Asia:  Lessons from Asia

Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring : Lessons from Asia: Lessons from Asia »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Leslie Teo , Charles Enoch , Carl-Johan Lindgren , Tomás Baliño , Anne Gulde , and Marc Quintyn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758712.084

ISBN: 9781557758712

Keywords: restructuring, loans, banking, debt, asset management

This paper reviews the policy responses of Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand to the Asian crisis that erupted in 1997 and compares the actions of these three countries with those of Malaysia and the Philippines, which...

Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of Currency Crises
			: The Case of Asia

Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of Currency Crises : The Case of Asia »

Volume/Issue: 1998/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451858396.001

ISBN: 9781451858396

Keywords: interest rates, exchange rate, exchange rates, real interest rates

This paper evaluates monetary policy and its relationship with the exchange rate in five Asian crisis countries. The findings are compared with previous currency crises in recent history. The paper finds no evidenc...

Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis

Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 1998/155

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451857283.001

ISBN: 9781451857283

Keywords: Contagion, Asian Crises, Financial Markets, news, correlations, correlation, dummy variables, significance level

This paper tests for evidence of contagion between the financial markets of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Korea, and the Philippines. Cross-country correlations among currencies and sovereign spreads are found to...

Financial Crisis and Credit Crunch as a Result of Inefficient Financial Intermediation-with Reference to the Asian Financial Crisis

Financial Crisis and Credit Crunch as a Result of Inefficient Financial Intermediation-with Reference to the Asian Financial Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 1998/127

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhaohui Chen , and Jorge Chan-Lau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451935998.001

ISBN: 9781451935998

Keywords: Asian crisis, credit crunch, financial intermediary, capital flow, capital inflow inertia, capital inflow, capital outflow, capital flows

This paper develops a model of private debt financing under inefficient financial intermediation. It suggests a mechanism that can generate the following sequence of events observed in the recent Asian crisis: A pe...