Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Allan Timmermann
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 01 March 2006
Keywords: Global economic condition, forecast performance, and evaluation, inflation, statistics, correlation, inflation forecasts, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Prices, Business Fluctuations
The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a key source of forecasts of global economic conditions. It is therefore important to review the performance of these forecasts against both actual outcomes and alternative forec...