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Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization
			: A Reappraisal with Focus on Asia

Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization : A Reappraisal with Focus on Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2014/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Romain Duval , Kevin Cheng , Kum Hwa Oh , Richa Saraf , and Dulani Seneviratne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475522464.001

ISBN: 9781475522464

Keywords: Value Added, Business Cycle Synchronization, Asia, trade intensity, trade integration, industry trade, trade data, impact of trade, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Asia.,

This paper reexamines the relationship between trade integration and business cycle synchronization (BCS) using new value-added trade data for 63 advanced and emerging economies during 1995-2012. In a panel framewo...

The International Monetary System
			: Where Are We and Where Do We Need to Go?

The International Monetary System : Where Are We and Where Do We Need to Go? »

Volume/Issue: 2013/224

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rakesh Mohan , Michael Patra , and Muneesh Kapur

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 November 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475514148.001

ISBN: 9781475514148

Keywords: currency internationalization, capital inflows, capital account liberalization, net capital, net capital flows, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, International Institutional Arrangements,

The North Atlantic financial crisis of 2008-2009 has spurred renewed interest in reforming the international monetary system, which has been malfunctioning in many aspects. Large and volatile capital flows have pro...

Benchmarking Structural Transformation Across the World

Benchmarking Structural Transformation Across the World »

Volume/Issue: 2013/176

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Era Dabla-Norris , Alun Thomas , Rodrigo Garcia-Verdu , and Yingyuan Chen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 31 July 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484359662.001

ISBN: 9781484359662

Keywords: Structural Transformation, Quantile Regression, Panel Data, globalization, gdp per capita, real gdp, economic globalization, economic growth, General,

This paper documents stylized facts on the process of structural transformation around the world and empirically analyzes its determinants using data on real value added by sector of economic activity (agriculture,...

Finance & Development, September 2012

Finance & Development, September 2012 »

Volume/Issue: 49/3

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 November 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504767.022

ISBN: 9781475504767

Keywords: financial sector, financial stability, international financial architecture, global financial system

Technology is generating a global convergence. A "big bang" of information—and education as well—is improving human lives. And with global interconnectivity growing by leaps and bounds, we are all wit...

Surging Capital Flows to Emerging Asia
			: Facts, Impacts, and Responses

Surging Capital Flows to Emerging Asia : Facts, Impacts, and Responses »

Volume/Issue: 2012/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sylwia Nowak , Sanjaya Panth , Ravi Balakrishnan , and Yiqun Wu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475503821.001

ISBN: 9781475503821

Keywords: capital flows, net capital flows, net capital, private capital flows, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation,

Net capital flows to emerging Asia rebounded at a record pace following the global financial crisis, raising concerns about overheating and financial stability. This paper documents the size and composition of the...

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets
			: Determinants and Spillovers

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets : Determinants and Spillovers »

Volume/Issue: 2012/71

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Alexander Demyanets

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475502237.001

ISBN: 9781475502237

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, Nonperforming loans, Exchange rate, Panel regressions, capital inflows, net capital flows, exchange rates, Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance: General

This paper assesses the vulnerability of emerging markets and their banks to aggregate shocks. We find significant links between banks' asset quality, credit and macroeconomic aggregates. Lower economic growth, an...

Coincident Indicators of Capital Flows

Coincident Indicators of Capital Flows »

Volume/Issue: 2012/55

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Malika Pant , and Yanliang Miao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463937737.001

ISBN: 9781463937737

Keywords: Coincident Indicators, Capital Tracker, net capital flows, net capital, capital inflows, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Capital flows data from Balance of Payments statistics often lag 3-6 months, which renders timely surveillance and policy deliberation difficult. To address the tension, we propose two coincident composite indicato...

World Economic Outlook, April 2011
			: Tensions from the Two-Speed Recovery:  Unemployment, Commodities, and Capital Flows

World Economic Outlook, April 2011 : Tensions from the Two-Speed Recovery: Unemployment, Commodities, and Capital Flows »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 April 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616350598.081

ISBN: 9781616350598

Keywords: capital flows, net capital flows, private capital flows, inflation

The April 2011 edition of the World Economic Outlook assesses the global prospects for economic growth in the face of policy challenges that remain unaddressed and new challenges now coming to the fore.The recovery...

Rising Income Inequality
			: Technology, or Trade and Financial Globalization?

Rising Income Inequality : Technology, or Trade and Financial Globalization? »

Volume/Issue: 2008/185

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chris Papageorgiou , Subir Lall , and Florence Jaumotte

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870435.001

ISBN: 9781451870435

Keywords: mechanisms, trade globalization, financial globalization, technological progress, FDI., tariff rate, trade liberalization, FDI,

We examine the relationship between trade and financial globalization and the rise in inequality in most countries in recent decades. We find technological progress as having a greater impact than globalization on...

Global Business Cycles
			: Convergence or Decoupling?

Global Business Cycles : Convergence or Decoupling? »

Volume/Issue: 2008/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Eswar Prasad , and Christopher Otrok

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870015.001

ISBN: 9781451870015

Keywords: macroeconomic fluctuations, convergence, decoupling, business cycle, globalization period, business cycle fluctuations,

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets,...