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China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility
			: Is World Growth Losing Out?

China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility : Is World Growth Losing Out? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513590455.001

ISBN: 9781513590455

Keywords: China&;amp;#x2019;s slowdown, global financial market volatility, international business cycle, Global VAR, volatility, market volatility, financial market, trade, global financial market, Time-Series Models

China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already weak global economic recovery. To quantify the global macroeconomic consequences of these shocks,...

Spillovers from China onto Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Insights from the Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM)

Spillovers from China onto Sub-Saharan Africa : Insights from the Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) »

Volume/Issue: 2015/221

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Derek Anderson , Jorge Canales Kriljenko , Paulo Drummond , Pedro Espaillat , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513557885.001

ISBN: 9781513557885

Keywords: macroeconomic interdepedence, trade, investment, exports, economy, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Open Economy Macroeconomics

What is the impact of economic spillovers from China on sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)? This is an increasingly important question because of China's growing economic role as a partner of SSA countriesfor both trade and...

Emerging Powers and Global Governance
			: Whither the IMF?

Emerging Powers and Global Governance : Whither the IMF? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rakesh Mohan , and Muneesh Kapur

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513557403.001

ISBN: 9781513557403

Keywords: Global Governance, quota, economy, economies, global economy, weight, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Institutional Arrangements,

The governance structure in global bodies like the IMF continues to be disproportionally dominated by advanced economies. Sustained rapid growth in emerging and developing economies (EDEs) in the past 2-3 decades h...

A New Look at the Determinants of Growth in Asian Countries

A New Look at the Determinants of Growth in Asian Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2015/195

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Manuk Ghazanchyan , Janet Stotsky , and Qianqian Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513524535.001

ISBN: 9781513524535

Keywords: growth, exchange rate, exchange rate regime, economies, currency, General, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Economic Growth of Open Economies, General, Asia including Middle East,

This study examines the drivers of growth in Asian countries, with focus on the role of investment, the exchange rate regime, financial risk, and capital account openness. We use a panel data set of a sample of Asi...

Drivers of Financial Integration - Implications for Asia

Drivers of Financial Integration - Implications for Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2015/160

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nasha Ananchotikul , Shi Piao , and Edda Zoli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 July 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513554815.001

ISBN: 9781513554815

Keywords: regulation, portfolio, investment, portfolio investment, market, bond, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, General, regulation.,

Deeper intraregional financial integration is prominent on Asian policymakers' agenda. This paper takes stock of Asia's progress toward that objective, analyzing recent trends in cross-border portfolio investment a...

China's Growth
			: Can Goldilocks Outgrow Bears?

China's Growth : Can Goldilocks Outgrow Bears? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/113

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Wojciech Maliszewski , and Longmei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 May 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513504643.001

ISBN: 9781513504643

Keywords: potential growth, output gap, production, investment, inflation, credit, potential output, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

The paper analyzes the recent growth dynamics in China, evaluating both cyclical positions and long-term growth prospects. The analysis shows that financial cycles play a more important role than traditional inflat...

Hong Kong's Growth Synchronization with China and the U.S.
			: A Trend and Cycle Analysis

Hong Kong's Growth Synchronization with China and the U.S. : A Trend and Cycle Analysis »

Volume/Issue: 2015/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dong He , Wei Liao , and Tommy Wu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 April 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484336106.001

ISBN: 9781484336106

Keywords: Business cycle synchronization, permanent income hypothesis, stochastic trend, structural vector autoregression, permanent income, exports, economy, International Business Cycles, structural vector autoregression.,

This paper investigates the synchronization of Hong Kong SAR's economic growth with mainland China and the United States. This paper identifies trends of economic growth based on the permanent income hypothesis. Sp...

Investment in Emerging Markets We Are Not in Kansas Anymore…Or Are We?

Investment in Emerging Markets We Are Not in Kansas Anymore…Or Are We? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/77

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Magud , and Sebastian Sosa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475534221.001

ISBN: 9781475534221

Keywords: financial constraints, private investment, commodity, debt, General, General, General, General, capital inflows.,

We document that (i) although private investment growth in emerging markets has decelerated in recent years, it came down from cyclical highs and remains close to pre-crisis trends; and (ii) investment-to-output ra...

The Global Trade Slowdown
			: Cyclical or Structural?

The Global Trade Slowdown : Cyclical or Structural? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/6

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Cristina Constantinescu , Aaditya Mattoo , and Michele Ruta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498399135.001

ISBN: 9781498399135

Keywords: Global Trade Slowdown, Trade Elasticity, trade, elasticity, gdp, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, General,

This paper focuses on the sluggish growth of world trade relative to income growth in recent years. The analysis uses an empirical strategy based on an error correction model to assess whether the global trade slow...

The Development of Local Debt Markets in Asia

The Development of Local Debt Markets in Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2011/132

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mangal Goswami , and Sunil Sharma

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455259373.001

ISBN: 9781455259373

Keywords: local currency debt markets, investor base, bank lending, regulatory framework, bond markets, securities, capital market, bond market, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

The paper makes an assessment of the progress made in developing local debt markets in emerging Asia. Market development has been limited by hurdles confronting borrowers and lenders, current and potential liquidit...