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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

China's Imports Slowdown

China's Imports Slowdown »

Source: China's Imports Slowdown : Spillovers, Spillins, and Spillbacks

Volume/Issue: 2016/51

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexei Kireyev , and Andrei Leonidov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2016

ISBN: 9781513555850

Keywords: shocks, spillover, spillin, spillback, network, gdp, revenue, demand, Neural Networks and Related Topics, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

The paper models international spillovers from a hypothetical drop of China's imports as a result of China's rebalancing of its growth model. A network-based model used in the paper allows capturing higher round ne...

Back Matter

Back Matter »

Source: Promoting Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa : Learning What Works

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Dhaneshwar Ghura , Anupam Basu , and Anthony Calamitsis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2000

ISBN: 9781557759665

Keywords: growth rates, real gdp, economic growth, gdp growth, domestic savings

Africa is the world's poorest continent, but amid all the bad news, there is hope for change. This pamphlet examines the lessons to be learned from some of the more successful economies south of the Sahara, and dis...

Front Matter

Front Matter »

Source: Promoting Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa : Learning What Works

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Dhaneshwar Ghura , Anupam Basu , and Anthony Calamitsis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2000

ISBN: 9781557759665

Keywords: growth rates, real gdp, economic growth, gdp growth, domestic savings

Africa is the world's poorest continent, but amid all the bad news, there is hope for change. This pamphlet examines the lessons to be learned from some of the more successful economies south of the Sahara, and dis...

Investment-Led Growth in China
			: Global Spillovers

Investment-Led Growth in China : Global Spillovers »

Volume/Issue: 2012/267

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ashvin Ahuja , and Malhar Nabar

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 November 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475556414.001

ISBN: 9781475556414

Keywords: gdp growth, trading partner, real gdp, fixed investment, trading partners

Over the past decade, China's growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China's supply chain are increasingly exposed...

Front Matter

Front Matter »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

Global activity has broadly strengthened and is expected to improve further in 2014-15, according to the April 2014 WEO, with much of the impetus for growth coming from advanced economies. Although downside risks h...

Is China Over-Investing and Does it Matter?

Is China Over-Investing and Does it Matter? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/277

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Il Houng Lee , Murtaza Syed , and Liu Xueyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 November 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475562675.001

ISBN: 9781475562675

Keywords: Social Welfare, Intertemporal Consumer Choice, cost of capital, gdp growth, real gdp, economic growth, General,

Now close to 50 percent of GDP, this paper assesses the appropriateness of China's current investment levels. It finds that China's capital-to-output ratio is within the range of other emerging markets, but its eco...

China's Economic Growth
			: International Spillovers

China's Economic Growth : International Spillovers »

Volume/Issue: 2010/165

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Athanasios Vamvakidis , and Vivek Arora

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455201761.001

ISBN: 9781455201761

Keywords: growth, gdp growth, real gdp, economic growth, net exports, world trade, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

This paper presents some facts on China's role in the world economy and measures the impact of China's growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and err...

East Asian Growth Before and After the Crisis

East Asian Growth Before and After the Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 1998/137

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): N. Crafts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451855883.001

ISBN: 9781451855883

Keywords: tfp, economic growth, capital markets, growth rates, real gdp

This paper surveys the literature on the growth performance of the east Asian economies in recent decades, evaluates the sustainability of that performance, and provides a preliminary assessment of their long-term...

Debt and Growth
			: Is There a Magic Threshold?

Debt and Growth : Is There a Magic Threshold? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/34

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrea Pescatori , Damiano Sandri , and John Simon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 February 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484306444.001

ISBN: 9781484306444

Keywords: growth, gdp growth, debt thresholds, debt ratio, growth rate, General,

Using a novel empirical approach and an extensive dataset developed by the Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF, we find no evidence of any particular debt threshold above which medium-term growth prospects are dra...

Benchmarking Structural Transformation Across the World

Benchmarking Structural Transformation Across the World »

Volume/Issue: 2013/176

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Era Dabla-Norris , Alun Thomas , Rodrigo Garcia-Verdu , and Yingyuan Chen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 31 July 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484359662.001

ISBN: 9781484359662

Keywords: Structural Transformation, Quantile Regression, Panel Data, globalization, gdp per capita, real gdp, economic globalization, economic growth, General,

This paper documents stylized facts on the process of structural transformation around the world and empirically analyzes its determinants using data on real value added by sector of economic activity (agriculture,...