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3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Reforms Needed to Weather Shocks from Commodity Prices and Russia

3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Reforms Needed to Weather Shocks from Commodity Prices and Russia »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, October 2015

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513528526

Keywords: environment, oil, oil prices, prices, exporters

A wave of large external shocks, particularly lower commodity prices and the slowdown in Russia, has weakened growth prospects and raised vulnerabilities in the region. Increases in public spend...

Caucasus and Central Asia

Caucasus and Central Asia »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, October 2015

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513528526

Keywords: environment, oil, oil prices, prices, exporters

Population, millions (2014) IFR“rgt“ecrkvc.“W0U0”fqnnctu“*4236+ Sources: IMF, Regional Economic Outlook database; and Microsoft Map Land. Note: T...

3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Need to Increase Resilience and Accelerate Reforms to Become Emerging Markets

3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Need to Increase Resilience and Accelerate Reforms to Become Emerging Markets »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, November 2013, Middle East and Central Asia

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484356074

Keywords: oil, oil exporters, les, oil importers, gas

Growth in the CCA is expected to remain robust in the near term, though subject to downside risks. The recovery in oil and gas production and other extractive industries has been...

Caucasus and Central Asia

Caucasus and Central Asia »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014, Middle East and Central Asia,

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498343732

Keywords: oil, oil importers, oil exporters, public investment

Population, millions (2013) GDP per capita, U.S. dollars (2013) Sources: IMF, Regional Economic Outlook database; and Microso...

3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Increased Risks Highlight Need for Reform

3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Increased Risks Highlight Need for Reform »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014, Middle East and Central Asia,

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498343732

Keywords: oil, oil importers, oil exporters, public investment

Economic growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) is expected to decline from 6.6 percent in 2013 to about 5.5 percent in 2014–15. The forecast is ¾ percentage point weaker...

Exchange Rate Movements and Tradable Goods Prices in East Asia

Exchange Rate Movements and Tradable Goods Prices in East Asia »

Source: Exchange Rate Movements and Tradable Goods Prices in East Asia : An Analysis Based on Japanese Customs Data, 1988-98

Volume/Issue: 1999/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yushi Yoshida , and Shinji Takagi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 1999

ISBN: 9781451845006

Keywords: Exchange rate, tradable goods, pass-through, exporters, export prices, export pricing, exchange rates

The paper uses a dynamic panel data model to estimate the pass-through coefficients of 20 nine-digit industrial commodities that are traded between Japan and its East Asian trading partners to investigate the respo...

Trade Elasticities in the Middle East and Central Asia

Trade Elasticities in the Middle East and Central Asia »

Source: Trade Elasticities in the Middle East and Central Asia : What is the Role of Oil?

Volume/Issue: 2008/216

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andreas Billmeier , and Dalia Hakura

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2008

ISBN: 9781451870749

Keywords: trade elasticities, current account adjustment, export prices, exporting countries, export volume, oil exports, oil exporters,

The analysis in this paper suggests that import and export volume elasticities are markedly lower in oil-exporting Middle East and Central Asian countries than in non-oil countries in the region. A key implication...

After the Boom–Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

After the Boom–Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean »

Source: After the Boom-Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

Volume/Issue: 2014/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bertrand Gruss

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 August 2014

ISBN: 9781498363518

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), commodity prices, output growth, Latin America, commodity exporters, exporters, commodity exports, Time-Series Models, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Economic Growth of Open Economies

After skyrocketing over the past decade, commodity prices have remained stable or eased somewhat since mid-2011-and most projections suggest they are not likely to resume the upward trend observed in the last decad...

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy*

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy* »

Source: The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

Volume/Issue: 2012/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , Mehdi Raissi , and Maziar Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475597158

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, international business cycle, oil-demand and oil-supply shocks, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, exporting countries, Time-Series Models

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-dr...

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles*

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles* »

Source: The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles

Volume/Issue: 2012/255

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475581645

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, macroeconomic shocks, international business cycle, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, oil exports, reer

This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GD...