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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Policies and Prospects in Japan and the Implications for the Asia-Pacific Region

Policies and Prospects in Japan and the Implications for the Asia-Pacific Region »

Source: Policies and Prospects in Japan and the Implications for the Asia-Pacific Region

Volume/Issue: 2001/131

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tim Callen , and Warwick McKibbin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2001

ISBN: 9781451855289

Keywords: Asia-Pacific region, macroeconomic model, fiscal consolidation, equity prices, government expenditure, government bonds, International Factor Movements and International Business: General, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper uses the G-Cubed (Asia-Pacific) model-a macroeconomic model with rich cross-country links-to explore the implications for Japan and Asia of several shocks to the Japanese economy. The results suggest tha...

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China: 1980-2002

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China: 1980-2002 »

Source: The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China : 1980-2002

Volume/Issue: 2003/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhongxia Jin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

ISBN: 9781451848922

Keywords: exchange rate, foreign exchange, real exchange rate, real interest rate, exchange reserves, Econometric Methods: - Multiple/Simultaneous Equation Models, Money and Interest Rates, Macroeconomic - Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook

Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in C...

Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run

Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run »

Source: Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run : the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility

Volume/Issue: 2010/259

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Surico , Luca Ricci , and Pierpaolo Benigno

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

ISBN: 9781455209590

Keywords: macroeconomic volatility, downward wage rigidities, unemployment rate, employment, unemployment rates, rate of unemployment, Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics: General, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production

We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run produc...

Economic Data Dissemination

Economic Data Dissemination »

Source: Economic Data Dissemination : What Influences Country Performanceon Frequency and Timiliness?

Volume/Issue: 2001/173

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mehmet Agça , and Peter Allum

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2001

ISBN: 9781451858631

Keywords: macroeconomic data dissemination, capital markets, survey, international capital markets, global capital markets, surveys, Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics: Other, Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics: General, Methodology for Collecting, Estimating

Despite initial improvements in macroeconomic data dissemination following the emerging markets crises of the late-1990s, large differences among countries remain. To identify the factors behind such differences, t...

Credit Market Imperfection and Sectoral Asymmetry of Chinese Business Cycle

Credit Market Imperfection and Sectoral Asymmetry of Chinese Business Cycle »

Source: Credit Market Imperfection and Sectoral Asymmetry of Chinese Business Cycle

Volume/Issue: 2011/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yuanyan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455262410

Keywords: investment, exchange rate, credit market, business cycle, net worth, Credit Market Imperfection, Secoral Asymmetry, Macroeconomics And Monetary Economics, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper analyzes the role of credit market imperfection and sectoral asymmetry as a means through which shocks to the real economy are propagated and amplified. Drawing on firm-level data to calibrate the model,...

Financial Inclusion in Asia-Pacific

Financial Inclusion in Asia-Pacific »

Source: Financial Inclusion in Asia-Pacific

Volume/Issue: 2018/17

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Elena Loukoianova , Yongzheng Yang , Si Guo , Leni Hunter , Sarwat Jahan , Fazurin Jamaludin , and Johanna Schauer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 September 2018

ISBN: 9781484371015

Keywords: Financial inclusion, Financial institutions, Financial services industry, Poor, financial inclusion, macroeconomic policymaking, fintech, Asia, Asia Pacific, Pacific

Asia has made significant progress in financial inclusion, but both its across-country and intra-country disparities are among the highest in the world. The gaps between the rich and the poor, rural and urban popul...

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia1

Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia1 »

Source: Current Account Rebalancing and Real Exchange Rate Adjustment Between the U.S. and Emerging Asia

Volume/Issue: 2011/46

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Damiano Sandri , Pau Rabanal , and Isabelle Mejean

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

ISBN: 9781455218967

Keywords: Rebalancing, Intermediate Inputs, terms of trade, tradable goods, exchange rate, export prices, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

A reduction in the U.S. current account deficit vis-à-vis emerging Asia involves a shift in demand from U.S. to emerging Asia tradable goods and a change in international relative prices. This paper quantifies the...

Tracking Chinese Inflation’s Effects on United States and Japan

Tracking Chinese Inflation’s Effects on United States and Japan »

Source: IMF Survey, Volume 35, Issue 14

Volume/Issue: 35/14

Series: IMF Survey

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2006

ISBN: 9781451968477

Keywords: financial sector, international monetary fund, Budget Policy And Planning, Macroeconomic Policy, Responsibility, Seigniorage (finance),

Seminar on preventing crises; Country briefs: Hong Kong SAR and Brazil; France's labor market reform; Seigniorage and governance; Chinese inflation; China's monetary policy; Mekong regional integration; Scaling up...

Forum: China Explores Options for Improving Monetary Policy

Forum: China Explores Options for Improving Monetary Policy »

Source: IMF Survey, Volume 35, Issue 14

Volume/Issue: 35/14

Series: IMF Survey

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2006

ISBN: 9781451968477

Keywords: financial sector, international monetary fund, Budget Policy And Planning, Macroeconomic Policy, Responsibility, Seigniorage (finance),

Seminar on preventing crises; Country briefs: Hong Kong SAR and Brazil; France's labor market reform; Seigniorage and governance; Chinese inflation; China's monetary policy; Mekong regional integration; Scaling up...

Global Business Cycles

Global Business Cycles »

Source: Global Business Cycles : Convergence or Decoupling?

Volume/Issue: 2008/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Eswar Prasad , and Christopher Otrok

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2008

ISBN: 9781451870015

Keywords: macroeconomic fluctuations, convergence, decoupling, business cycle, globalization period, business cycle fluctuations,

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets,...