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Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms

Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms »

Source: Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms : A Lost Cause?

Volume/Issue: 2015/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Law , and Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513597584

Keywords: default probabilities, equity, market, Asset Pricing, Financial Forecasting and Simulation,

Assessing default risks for Chinese firms is hard. Standard measures of risk using market indicators may be unreliable because of implicit guarantees, the large role played by less-informed investors, and other mar...

Asian Flu or Wall Street Virus? Price and Volatility Spillovers of the Tech and Non-Tech Sectors in the United States and Asia

Asian Flu or Wall Street Virus? Price and Volatility Spillovers of the Tech and Non-Tech Sectors in the United States and Asia »

Source: Asian Flu or Wall Street Virus? Price and Volatility Spillovers of the Tech and Non-Tech Sectors in the United States and Asia

Volume/Issue: 2002/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau , and Iryna Ivaschenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2002

ISBN: 9781451857245

Keywords: Price spillovers, volatility spillovers, asymmetric GARCH models, spillovers, stock market, stock returns, stock price,

This paper, using T-GARCH models, finds that the United States has been the major source of price and volatility spillovers to stock markets in the Asian region during three different periods in the last decade: th...

Discretionary Trading and Asset Price Volatility

Discretionary Trading and Asset Price Volatility »

Source: Discretionary Trading and Asset Price Volatility

Volume/Issue: 1995/104

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jahangir Aziz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1995

ISBN: 9781451947922

Keywords: stock market, stock markets, stock prices, future value, risk aversion

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, inclu...

Country Transparency and the Global Transmission of Financial Shocks

Country Transparency and the Global Transmission of Financial Shocks »

Source: Country Transparency and the Global Transmission of Financial Shocks

Volume/Issue: 2013/156

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Brandao Marques , R. Gelos , and Natalia Melgar

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 July 2013

ISBN: 9781484397237

Keywords: transmission of global financial shocks, bond, stock returns, equity markets, bond spreads, bond returns, Asset Pricing,

This paper considers the role of country-level opacity (the lack of availability of information) in amplifying shocks emanating from financial centers. We provide a simple model where, in the presence of ambiguity...

Monetary Policy and the Price Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets

Monetary Policy and the Price Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets »

Source: Monetary Policy and the Price Behavior in Emerging Stock Markets

Volume/Issue: 1991/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Peter Cornelius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 1991

ISBN: 9781451844429

Keywords: stock prices, stock markets, emerging stock markets, time series, stock market

This paper examines whether the six largest and most active emerging stock markets are informationally efficient with respect to changes in the money supply. To investigate if stock prices fully reflect the informa...

Unforeseen Events Wait Lurking

Unforeseen Events Wait Lurking »

Source: Unforeseen Events Wait Lurking : Estimating Policy Spillovers From U.S. to Foreign Asset Prices

Volume/Issue: 2011/183

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Trung Bui

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462309290

Keywords: Event studies, policy announcements, interntational asset price transmission, bond yields, bond, foreign bond, equity prices, commodity prices, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Corporate Finance and Governance: Government Policy and Regulation,

Event studies are used to analyze the impact of U.S. financial, fiscal, and monetary policies from US to foreign asset prices across a range of G20 countries and Switzerland. The initial announcement that the Admin...

Asia’s Stock Markets: Are There Crouching Tigers and Hidden Dragons?

Asia’s Stock Markets: Are There Crouching Tigers and Hidden Dragons? »

Source: Asia's Stock Markets : Are There Crouching Tigers and Hidden Dragons?

Volume/Issue: 2014/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabian Lipinsky , and Li Lian Ong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 February 2014

ISBN: 9781484320143

Keywords: arbitrage pricing theory, Asian financial crisis, fundamentals, global financial crisis, idiosyncratic factors, integration, IOSCO, securities regulation, stock market, stock pricing

Stock markets play a key role in corporate financing in Asia. However, despite their increasing importance in terms of size and cross-border investment activity, the region's markets are reputed to be more 'idiosyn...

Lending Booms, Real Estate Bubbles and the Asian Crisis

Lending Booms, Real Estate Bubbles and the Asian Crisis »

Source: Lending Booms, Real Estate Bubbles and the Asian Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2002/20

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Abdelhak Senhadji , and Charles Collyns

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

ISBN: 9781451843859

Keywords: Lending Booms, Real Estate Bubbles, Asia Crisis, real estate, stock market, real estate prices, moral hazard, Asian Crisis,

This paper examines the link between lending booms, asset price cycles, and financial crises across East Asian countries. Both theoretical arguments and empirical evidence support a strong relationship between bank...

Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts

Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts »

Source: Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts : Some Cross-Country Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2011/125

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Natalia Tamirisa , Prakash Loungani , and Herman Stekler

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

ISBN: 9781455263424

Keywords: Information rigidity, forecasts, crises, banking crises, recession, impulse responses, number of observations, forecast errors, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Prices

We document information rigidity in forecasts for real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We investigate: (i) if rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as in times of rec...

Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms
			: A Lost Cause?

Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms : A Lost Cause? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Law , and Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 June 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513597584.001

ISBN: 9781513597584

Keywords: default probabilities, equity, market, Asset Pricing, Financial Forecasting and Simulation,

Assessing default risks for Chinese firms is hard. Standard measures of risk using market indicators may be unreliable because of implicit guarantees, the large role played by less-informed investors, and other mar...