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China's Economy in Transition
			: From External to Internal Rebalancing

China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing »

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484303931.071

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

China's current account surplus has declined to around one-quarter the peak reached before the global financial crisis. While this is a major reduction in China's external imbalance, it has not been accompanied by...

Chapter 1. An End to China’s Imbalances?

Chapter 1. An End to China’s Imbalances? »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

Global imbalances have been a central theme of the international economic policy debate for much of the last decade, prompted by large and sustained current account deficits in the United States...

Chapter 2. Investment in China: Too Much of a Good Thing?

Chapter 2. Investment in China: Too Much of a Good Thing? »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

As documented in Chapter 1, much of the decline in China’s current account surplus has been accomplished by boosting investment as a share of the national economy. This chapter assesses the appr...

Chapter 3. China’s Rapid Investment, Potential Output, and Output Gap

Chapter 3. China’s Rapid Investment, Potential Output, and Output Gap »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

The rapid increase in China’s investment ratio since 2000 has important implications for the potential output of the economy and the output gap. This chapter estimates China’s potential output a...

Chapter 4. Determinants of Corporate Investment in China: Evidence from Cross-Country Firm-Level Data

Chapter 4. Determinants of Corporate Investment in China: Evidence from Cross-Country Firm-Level Data »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

Building on the aggregate analyses of investment in the preceding chapters, this chapter analyzes the evolution of corporate investment in China, its main features, and its key determinants. Sin...

Chapter 5. Interest Rates, Targets, and Household Saving in Urban China

Chapter 5. Interest Rates, Targets, and Household Saving in Urban China »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

An important aspect of domestic imbalances in China is the relatively low share of household consumption in the national economy (down to about 36 percent of GDP in 2011 from 46 percent early in...

Chapter 6. Implications for Asia from Rebalancing in China

Chapter 6. Implications for Asia from Rebalancing in China »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

The second section of the book, beginning with this chapter, examines how China’s main trading partners have been affected by the developments analyzed in the first part. This chapter studies th...

Chapter 7. Investment-Led Growth in China: Global Spillovers

Chapter 7. Investment-Led Growth in China: Global Spillovers »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

China’s growth model became increasingly dependent on investment during the first decade of the 2000s, and its footprint in global imports widened substantially. Several economies in China’s sup...

Chapter 8. The Spillover Effects of a Downturn in China’s Real Estate Investment

Chapter 8. The Spillover Effects of a Downturn in China’s Real Estate Investment »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

This chapter assesses the impact of a downturn in China’s real estate investment on economic activity in China and among its trading partners. The analysis finds that a 1 percent decline in Chin...

Chapter 9. Chronicle of a Decline Foretold: Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point?

Chapter 9. Chronicle of a Decline Foretold: Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point? »

Source: China's Economy in Transition : From External to Internal Rebalancing

Series: Books

Author(s): Anoop Singh , Malhar Nabar , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 November 2013

ISBN: 9781484303931

Keywords: current account, real interest rate, financial reform, real estate, current account surplus

The final section of the book examines what needs to be done to complete the process of domestic rebalancing. Impending demographic changes make reform ever more urgent. China is on the eve of a...