Series: IMF Staff Papers
Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 01 January 1999
Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, current account, international monetary fund
This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One m...